poker betting bots
Thursday, December 17th, 2009
Why don’t poker bots work?
I know that poker bots don’t work the way they’re advertised and are a waste of money. But it seems to me that all the things you use to “read” an online opponent such as position, pause time, and betting patterns can be easily analyzed with software. Throw in the odds calculation ability and IN THEORY you should be able to program the right moves to make in a cash game. Based on what an opponent has done in the past, where they’re at, what cards you’re holding, relative chip sizes, and what cards are shown it shouldn’t be too terribly hard. And computers don’t miss anything. Everyone says the key to winning online is to pay attention to what your opponent is doing and what they’ve done in the past. A bot could analyze that data down to the microsecond level, and make the mathematically advantageous decision every time. Yet they don’t work. Why not?
The problem with poker bots that are programmed properly is that even though poker bots could read opponents and calculate odds (most bots do calculate odds), a human can fool them.
Bots are always going to make decisions based on hard maths and other factors, which don’t take into account the variability of the human mind. A human can think incorrectly which leads the bot to make incorrect decisions as the hand progresses.
For the last reason: Bots are only as good as their programmers are. If a bot programmer does not know how to play a situation perfectly (not any poker player can make a perfect move every time), the bot can’t either. A bot can’t make decisions based on it’s own knowledge, since it doesn’t have any, and you can never program anything to base decisions on possibly incorrect ones.
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